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Trump has a problem: Americans increasingly think he's incompetent

In November, 56% of people said in a Quinnipiac poll they thought Trump was a good leader; 38% said he wasn't. Now those figures are 42% yes, 55% no.

President Donald Trump.

Donald Trump has already set a record for being the most unpopular new president since the invention of telephone polling. But I don't think job approval is the poll number Trump should be most worried about.

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If I were him, I'd be worrying about the question the Quinnipiac University poll was asking about my leadership skills.

In a new Quinnipiac survey, out on Wednesday, only 42% of voters said they think Trump is a good leader, and 55% said he's not.

Trump's big thing is supposed to be leadership — he's the business guy, he hires the best people, and he knows how to shake things up in Washington and make America great again. Right?

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In November, shortly after the election, 56% of respondents told Quinnipiac they thought Trump was a good leader, and only 38% said he wasn't. That's not too shabby for a guy who didn't even get the most votes.

But as Trump started actually doing stuff — running a transition, hiring people, issuing half-baked executive orders, firing his national security adviser after less than a month — the share of Americans willing to call him a good leader has steadily declined.

From 56% in November, it went to 49% in January, 47% earlier this month — and now 42%, or about 4 points less than his share of the popular vote.

In polling, you often analyze a question by measuring the difference between the share of respondents that gives the positive answer and the share that gives the negative one. By this measure, Trump was at plus-18 on the "good leader" question in November, and now he's at minus-13, a decline of 31 points in three months.

His term lasts another 47 months.

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(Quinnipiac surveyed 1,323 adults in English or Spanish from February 16 to 21, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.)

An earlier version of this post incorrectly said Trump had 51 months left in his term. We regret the error.

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